10 Tips and Tricks for Statistical Proofs
May 21, 2019

I’ve been taking probability theory this year and I noticed that a lot of proofs will assume that the reader already knows some commonly used “tricks.” If you aren’t familiar with them, it can be hard to follow the proofs in the textbook,1 let alone prove it yourself. I felt like this was happening to me a lot, so in an effort to better familiarize myself, I’ve written down some useful tips and tricks, along with explanations and/or examples.2

  1. Bounding the Union with a Sum
  1. Cauchy-Schwarz Inequality
  1. Continuous Mapping Theorem
  1. Convergence Theorems
  1. Expectation of Positive Random Variables
  1. Jensen’s Inequality
  1. Markov’s (Chebyshev’s) Inequality
  1. Slutsky’s Theorem
  1. Taylor Expansion & Euler’s Number
  1. Truncating an Infinite Sum

Bonus

Here are two additional useful techniques. I’ve listed them separately because it seems a bit of a stretch to call them “tricks.”5

  1. Borel-Cantelli Lemmas
  • The first Borel-Cantelli Lemma states that if \(\sum_{n=1}^\infty P(A_n) < \infty\), then \(P(A_n \text{ i. o.})= 0\). This is often used to prove almost sure convergence. For example, if you can show that \(\sum_{n=1}^\infty P(|X_n-X|>\epsilon)<\infty\), then by the lemma, \(P(|X_n-X|>\epsilon \text{ i.o.}) = 0\), which implies that \(X_n \rightarrow X\) almost surely by definition.
  • The second Borel-Cantelli Lemma states that if \(A_n\) are mutually independent and \(\sum_{n=1}^\infty P(A_n) = \infty\), then \(P(A_n \text{ i.o.})= 1\). Similarly, this can be used to prove that \(X_n\) doesn’t converge to \(X\) almost surely. It’s a little less useful than B-C 1 because of the extra requirement of independence and the fact that you usually want to prove something converges rather than doesn’t converge.
  1. Characteristic Functions
  • There is a one to one correspondence between a characteristic function \(\phi(t)\) and a distribution, so it’s sometimes useful to use characteristic functions to prove something about a distribution. By definition, the characteristic function is \[ \phi(t) = Ee^{itx} = E \cos tX + iE\sin tX \] Note that it is a function of \(t\) and that it lies within the unit circle \(|\phi(t)| \leq E|e^{itX}| = 1\).

  • Example: We can prove the central limit theorem with characteristic functions. Assume that \(X_1,X_2,…\) are iid with \(E X_i = 0\) and \(var(X_i) = \sigma^2 < \infty\). The central limit theorem states that if \(S_n = \sum X_i\), \[ \frac{S_n}{\sigma n^{1/2}} \Rightarrow \chi \sim N(0, 1) \] To show this, note that by Taylor expansion6, the characteristic function of \(X_i\) is \[ \begin{align} \phi(t) = E \exp(itX_i) &= 1 + it EX - \frac{t^2E(X^2)}{2} + o(t^2) \\ \implies E \exp\left(\frac{itS_n}{\sigma n^{1/2}}\right) &= \left[E \exp \frac{itX_i}{\sigma n^{1/2}}\right]^n \\ &= \left[1-\frac{t^2}{2n}+\sigma(n^{-1})\right]^n \\ \end{align} \] By property of Euler’s number (see #9), the last term \(\rightarrow \exp\left(\frac{-t^2}{2}\right)\), which is the characteristic function of a standard normal distribution.


  1. Specifically, Durrett’s Probability Theory and Examples textbook.

  2. This guide was also inspired by Daniel Seita’s Mathematical Tricks Commonly Used in Machine Learning and Statistics.

  3. For more intuitive explanations, check out this post on quora.

  4. To be formal, you can use separate \(N\)’s to bound \(\mu_n\) and \(\mu\) and then use the max as your \(N\).

  5. And also because “12 Tips and Tricks” is somewhat less catchy than “10 Tips and Tricks.”

  6. Technically, you have to assume \(E|X|^3 < \infty\) for a direct application of the Taylor expansion, but with some tedious math, it can be shown that \(E|X|^2 < \infty\) is sufficient.


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